Will the monthly crude oil exports fall below 1.5 million barrels per day in September 2026?

Outcome: NO

How this forecast is settled

Will Nigeria export less than 1.5 million barrels of crude per day on average in September?

Resolution

Nigeria's crude oil production has held at or above 1.5 million barrels per day (averaging around 1.50 million to 1.57 million bpd of strict crude, and over 1.67 million bpd when including condensates), successfully meeting its OPEC quota.

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