Nigeria inflation rate: what Nigerians expect from the next NBS figure
Forecasts on the National Bureau of Statistics headline and food inflation releases, settled against the official numbers.
Open forecasts
- Will Nigeria's October 2026 inflation rate come in below September's 14.63%?
- Will the CBN's published Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM) reference rate for the US dollar reach or exceed ₦1,400 per dollar on any trading day between November 3 and November 30, 2026?
- Will the Central Bank of Nigeria cut its benchmark interest rate below 25% before December 31, 2026?
What Nigerians expected vs what happened
- Will the Central Bank of Nigeria or the promoters of Coin Finance Company Ltd publicly confirm that any portion of the disputed ₦100.35 million finance-house licensing payment has been refunded by October 31, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will the FCT High Court deliver a substantive ruling on the no-case submission in the $6.23 million fraud case involving former CBN governor Godwin Emefiele by October 28? — outcome NO
- Will Nigeria's NBS headline inflation rate for September 2026 come in below 15.39%? — outcome YES
- Will NBS report Nigeria’s food inflation above 22% year-on-year for August 2026, when the August CPI report is released in September? — outcome NO
- Will Nigerian money-market rates rise further following the CBN's latest liquidity mop-up before 11:59 PM WAT on September 4, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will Nigeria's external reserves remain above $53bn at the next reported reading? — outcome YES
- Will Nigeria's headline inflation fall by at least 0.5 percentage points in the August 2026 NBS CPI report? — outcome NO
- Will the Federal Government, CBN, or a development-finance institution announce a productive-sector financing programme worth at least ₦100 billion before August 31, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will the Central Bank of Nigeria announce a material change to monetary policy, foreign-exchange regulations, reserve requirements, banking regulations, or payment-system rules before August 15, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will gold close above $4,250/oz before August 1, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will the National Bureau of Statistics report headline inflation below 16.0% in its next CPI release by July 31, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will the CBN leave the Monetary Policy Rate unchanged at 26.5% at the conclusion of the July MPC meeting? — outcome YES
- Will the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) keep its Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) unchanged at its next Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting in July 2026? — outcome YES
- Will Nigeria’s headline inflation rate remain above 20% in the next official inflation release before the end of July 2026? — outcome NO
- lWill the Central Bank of Nigeria introduce another banking or financial sector regulatory measure before July 31, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will the Nigerian National Bureau of Statistics release new inflation data showing a decline in headline inflation compared with the previous month? — outcome NO
- Will the CBN issue a new circular affecting banks, foreign exchange, or financial institutions within the next 72 hours? — outcome NO
- Will the official naira exchange rate remain below ₦1,500/$ through July 15, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will Nigerian food market prices in Lagos and Abuja show any weekend relief following the Iran deal-driven crude price drop? — outcome NO
- Will semiconductor stocks (AI chip sector) underperform the broader market again in the next 72 hours? — outcome YES
- Will Nasdaq extend its tech-led selloff and close lower for 3 consecutive trading sessions this week? — outcome NO
- Will global oil price volatility (±3% daily movement) translate into any noticeable change in FX sentiment or pricing pressure in Nigeria within the next 72 hours following geopolitical developments (Iran–US deal expectations) — outcome YES
- Will the Nigerian Naira strengthen below ₦1,550/$ in the official market before June 12? — outcome YES
- Will the Naira close stronger than ₦1,340 to the dollar on the official market today (May 22)? — outcome NO
- Will Olayemi Cardoso announce an increase in the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) above the current 26.5% at today’s press briefing? — outcome NO
- Will the successful bid rate at today’s Central Bank of Nigeria FX auction drop below ₦1,300, signaling a deliberate regulatory push to strengthen the naira? — outcome NO
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